ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

These 3 Stocks Just Entered Overbought Territory

Overbought stocks

As Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) continue to spearhead the upward trajectory of the S&P 500 amidst notable retractions from other major tech players and market leaders, such as Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), investors might begin raising questions regarding the potential overvaluations and overbought conditions in a handful of names.

As the market hovers near all-time highs, many stocks have registered extreme overbought conditions, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates. The RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in a stock during a specified period. 

According to their RSI, DKS, WSM, and SG are three stocks registering extreme overbought conditions. These stocks are among the most overbought in the U.S., signaling a potential readiness for a pullback as investors might rush to secure profits. 

So, could these three names be highly susceptible to a sharp pullback? Is it time to sell? Let’s take a closer look. 

Dicks Sporting Goods (NYSE: DKS)

Following its latest earnings release, shares of DKS surged over 15% on the week after the company surpassed market expectations, reporting higher earnings and net sales in fiscal Q4. DKS reported fiscal Q4 non-GAAP earnings Thursday of $3.85 per diluted share, compared with $2.93 a year earlier, exceeding analysts' forecasts of $3.36. Additionally, net sales for the quarter ended Feb. 3 rose to $3.88 billion from $3.6 billion a year earlier, surpassing analysts' expectations of $3.79 billion.

Despite the impressive earnings report, the stock now finds itself in an extreme situation from a technical standpoint. With shares significantly extending from their uptrend and 200-day SMA, DKS has entered overbought territory. The RSI currently stands at 90.97, indicating one of the most overbought conditions possible, as an RSI over 90 suggests extreme overbought levels. This significant surge in price, coupled with the high RSI value, suggests a potential pullback on the horizon.

Sweetgreen (NYSE: SG)

Sweetgreen's stock price has surged significantly, with shares up close to 100% year-to-date. Despite this impressive performance, sentiment surrounding SG remains highly bearish. Analysts forecast a significant downside, and over 10% of the float is positioned short. 

This year's substantial gains were mainly driven by Sweetgreen's earnings report on February 29th, 2024. Sweetgreen reported earnings per share of ($0.24) for the quarter, slightly missing the consensus estimate of ($0.23) by $0.01. However, the firm's revenue for the quarter stood at $153 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $152.04 million and marking a 29.0% increase year over year.

Following the earnings release, SG experienced a notable gap in its stock price, leading to consistent upward momentum, with shares climbing over 70% in the previous month alone. As a result, the stock has entered an extremely overbought scenario, reflected by its RSI of 87.

The surge higher has left the stock severely extended from its 200-day SMA, which is 50% below the last trade price, signaling a parabolic upward move has occurred. While the market has responded positively to Sweetgreen's earnings performance, the exceptionally high RSI and the steep deviation from its moving average suggest a potential correction may be imminent.

Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM)

Williams-Sonoma has continued to bolster its impressive year-to-date gains, witnessing a surge of over 15% this week following the release of its latest earnings report. On March 13, the specialty retailer unveiled quarterly earnings results that outpaced analysts' projections. WSM reported earnings per share of $5.44 for the quarter, surpassing the consensus estimate of $5.06 by $0.38.

However, despite the upbeat earnings performance, sentiment surrounding WSM remains bearish. The RSI currently stands at 82, signaling an overbought condition. Additionally, with 11% of the stock's float positioned short, there exists significant skepticism among investors. Analysts have assigned the stock a reduce rating, with their consensus price target projecting a substantial downside of 34%. This pessimistic sentiment, coupled with the elevated RSI, suggests that WSM may face headwinds in sustaining its recent gains, potentially leading to a correction in the near future

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  220.69
+3.55 (1.63%)
AAPL  271.49
+5.24 (1.97%)
AMD  203.78
-2.24 (-1.09%)
BAC  51.56
+0.56 (1.10%)
GOOG  299.65
+9.67 (3.33%)
META  594.25
+5.10 (0.87%)
MSFT  472.12
-6.31 (-1.32%)
NVDA  178.88
-1.76 (-0.97%)
ORCL  198.76
-11.93 (-5.66%)
TSLA  391.09
-4.14 (-1.05%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.