ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Reasons ERIE Has Explosive Upside Potential

ERIE Cover Image

Shareholders of Erie Indemnity would probably like to forget the past six months even happened. The stock dropped 20.2% and now trades at $288.16. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Following the pullback, is now a good time to buy ERIE? Find out in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

Why Are We Positive On Erie Indemnity?

Operating under a unique business model dating back to 1925, Erie Indemnity (NASDAQ: ERIE) serves as the attorney-in-fact for Erie Insurance Exchange, managing policy issuance, claims handling, and investment services for this reciprocal insurer.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Shows Strong Momentum

Big picture, insurers generate revenue from three key sources. The first is the core business of underwriting policies. The second source is income from investing the “float” (premiums collected upfront not yet paid out as claims) in assets such as fixed-income assets and equities. The third is fees from various sources such as policy administration, annuities, or other value-added services.

Luckily, Erie Indemnity’s revenue grew at a solid 10.1% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Its growth surpassed the average insurance company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

Erie Indemnity Quarterly Revenue

2. Growing BVPS Reflects Strong Asset Base

We consider book value per share (BVPS) a critical metric for insurance companies. BVPS represents the total net worth per share, providing insight into a company’s financial strength and ability to meet policyholder obligations.

Erie Indemnity’s BVPS increased by 13.1% annually over the last five years, and growth has recently accelerated as BVPS grew at an impressive 19.7% annual clip over the past two years (from $30.83 to $44.16 per share).

Erie Indemnity Quarterly Book Value per Share

3. Stellar ROE Showcases Lucrative Growth Opportunities

Return on equity (ROE) serves as a comprehensive measure of an insurer's performance, showing how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profits. Strong ROE performance typically translates to better returns for investors through a combination of earnings retention, share repurchases, and dividend distributions.

Over the last five years, Erie Indemnity has averaged an ROE of 27.2%, exceptional for a company operating in a sector where the average shakes out around 12.5% and those putting up 20%+ are greatly admired. This shows Erie Indemnity has a strong competitive moat.

Erie Indemnity Return on Equity

Final Judgment

These are just a few reasons why we think Erie Indemnity is an elite insurance company. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 21× forward P/E (or $288.16 per share). Is now the time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  244.45
-5.75 (-2.30%)
AAPL  272.35
+2.21 (0.82%)
AMD  240.42
-15.91 (-6.21%)
BAC  53.28
+0.83 (1.59%)
GOOG  286.79
+2.04 (0.72%)
META  624.30
-11.65 (-1.83%)
MSFT  498.01
-9.15 (-1.80%)
NVDA  189.13
-6.08 (-3.11%)
ORCL  243.53
-6.78 (-2.71%)
TSLA  445.43
-16.64 (-3.60%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.