ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Consumer Stocks with Warning Signs

SCI Cover Image

Most consumer discretionary businesses succeed or fail based on the broader economy. Thankfully for the industry, all signs are pointing up as discretionary stocks have gained 20.1% over the past six months, beating the S&P 500’s 12.7% return.

Regardless of these results, investors should tread carefully as many companies in this space are unpredictable because they lack recurring revenue business models. With that said, here are three consumer stocks best left ignored.

Service International (SCI)

Market Cap: $10.96 billion

Founded in 1962, Service International (NYSE: SCI) is a leading provider of death care products and services in North America.

Why Are We Out on SCI?

  1. Number of funeral services performed has disappointed over the past two years, indicating weak demand for its offerings
  2. Poor free cash flow margin of 14.3% for the last two years limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends
  3. Shrinking returns on capital from an already weak position reveal that neither previous nor ongoing investments are yielding the desired results

At $78.18 per share, Service International trades at 18.9x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including SCI in your portfolio.

Mister Car Wash (MCW)

Market Cap: $1.88 billion

Formerly known as Hotshine Holdings, Mister Car Wash (NYSE: MCW) offers car washes across the United States through its conveyorized service.

Why Should You Sell MCW?

  1. Lagging same-store sales over the past two years suggest it might have to change its pricing and marketing strategy to stimulate demand
  2. Returns on capital are increasing as management makes relatively better investment decisions
  3. 5× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio shows it’s overleveraged and increases the probability of shareholder dilution if things turn unexpectedly

Mister Car Wash’s stock price of $5.75 implies a valuation ratio of 12.3x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with MCW, check out our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Universal Technical Institute (UTI)

Market Cap: $1.43 billion

Founded in 1965, Universal Technical Institute (NYSE: UTI) is a leading provider of technical training programs, specializing in automotive, diesel, collision repair, motorcycle, and marine technicians.

Why Do We Think UTI Will Underperform?

  1. Sluggish trends in its new students suggest customers aren’t adopting its solutions as quickly as the company hoped
  2. Free cash flow margin is forecasted to shrink by 4.1 percentage points in the coming year, suggesting the company will consume more capital to keep up with its competitors
  3. Unchanged returns on capital make it difficult for the company’s valuation multiple to re-rate

Universal Technical Institute is trading at $26.30 per share, or 14.1x forward EV-to-EBITDA. If you’re considering UTI for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Stocks We Like More

If your portfolio success hinges on just 4 stocks, your wealth is built on fragile ground. You have a small window to secure high-quality assets before the market widens and these prices disappear.

Don’t wait for the next volatility shock. Check out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  241.56
+0.63 (0.26%)
AAPL  260.33
-2.03 (-0.77%)
AMD  210.02
-4.33 (-2.02%)
BAC  55.64
-1.61 (-2.81%)
GOOG  322.43
+7.88 (2.51%)
META  648.69
-11.93 (-1.81%)
MSFT  483.47
+4.96 (1.04%)
NVDA  189.11
+1.87 (1.00%)
ORCL  192.84
-0.91 (-0.47%)
TSLA  431.41
-1.55 (-0.36%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.