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2 Reasons to Like ENPH and 1 to Stay Skeptical

ENPH Cover Image

Enphase has gotten torched over the last six months - since October 2024, its stock price has dropped 49.3% to $53.91 per share. This may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Given the weaker price action, is now the time to buy ENPH? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does ENPH Stock Spark Debate?

The first company to successfully commercialize the solar micro-inverter, Enphase (NASDAQ: ENPH) manufactures software-driven home energy products.

Two Positive Attributes:

1. Excellent Free Cash Flow Margin Boosts Reinvestment Potential

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Enphase has shown terrific cash profitability, putting it in an advantageous position to invest in new products, return capital to investors, and consolidate the market during industry downturns. The company’s free cash flow margin was among the best in the industrials sector, averaging 27.9% over the last five years.

Enphase Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

2. Stellar ROIC Showcases Lucrative Growth Opportunities

Growth gives us insight into a company’s long-term potential, but how capital-efficient was that growth? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Enphase’s five-year average ROIC was 42.7%, placing it among the best industrials companies. This illustrates its management team’s ability to invest in highly profitable ventures and produce tangible results for shareholders.

One Reason to be Careful:

Demand Slipping as Sales Volumes Decline

Revenue growth can be broken down into changes in price and volume (the number of units sold). While both are important, volume is the lifeblood of a successful Renewable Energy company because there’s a ceiling to what customers will pay.

Enphase’s units sold came in at 2.01 million in the latest quarter, and they averaged 15.8% year-on-year declines over the last two years. This performance was underwhelming and implies there may be increasing competition or market saturation. It also suggests Enphase might have to lower prices or invest in product improvements to grow, factors that can hinder near-term profitability.

Enphase Units Sold

Final Judgment

Enphase has huge potential even though it has some open questions. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 16.1× forward price-to-earnings (or $53.91 per share). Is now a good time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our comprehensive research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More Than Enphase

The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025.

While the crowd speculates what might happen next, we’re homing in on the companies that can succeed regardless of the political or macroeconomic environment. Put yourself in the driver’s seat and build a durable portfolio by checking out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,183% between December 2019 and December 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like Sterling Infrastructure (+1,096% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

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