ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 Surging Industrials Stock for Long-Term Investors and 2 to Steer Clear Of

AXON Cover Image

Each stock in this article is trading near its 52-week high. These elevated prices usually indicate some degree of investor confidence, business improvements, or favorable market conditions.

While momentum can be a leading indicator, it has burned many investors as it doesn’t always correlate with long-term success. All that said, here is one stock we think lives up to the hype and two that may correct.

Two IndustrialsStocks to Sell:

Fastenal (FAST)

One-Month Return: -1%

Founded in 1967, Fastenal (NASDAQ: FAST) provides industrial and construction supplies, including fasteners, tools, safety products, and many other product categories to businesses globally.

Why Are We Wary of FAST?

  1. Sales trends were unexciting over the last two years as its 3.3% annual growth was below the typical industrials company
  2. Performance over the past two years shows its incremental sales were less profitable, as its 1.5% annual earnings per share growth trailed its revenue gains
  3. Capital intensity has ramped up over the last five years as its free cash flow margin decreased by 6 percentage points

Fastenal is trading at $40.80 per share, or 37.2x forward P/E. If you’re considering FAST for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

GATX (GATX)

One-Month Return: +6.3%

Originally founded to ship beer, GATX (NYSE: GATX) provides leasing and management services for railcars and other transportation assets globally.

Why Does GATX Give Us Pause?

  1. Demand for its offerings was relatively low as its number of active railcars has underwhelmed
  2. Free cash flow margin shrank by 32.2 percentage points over the last five years, suggesting the company is consuming more capital to stay competitive
  3. 9× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio shows it’s overleveraged and increases the probability of shareholder dilution if things turn unexpectedly

GATX’s stock price of $156.35 implies a valuation ratio of 17.3x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than GATX.

One Industrials Stock to Buy:

Axon (AXON)

One-Month Return: +20.7%

Providing body cameras and tasers for first responders, AXON (NASDAQ: AXON) develops technology solutions and weapons products for military, law enforcement, and civilians.

Why Will AXON Beat the Market?

  1. Unit sales averaged 32% growth over the past two years and imply healthy demand for its products
  2. Free cash flow margin expanded by 20.3 percentage points over the last five years, providing additional flexibility for investments and share buybacks/dividends
  3. Historical investments are beginning to pay off as its returns on capital are growing

At $750 per share, Axon trades at 127.4x forward P/E. Is now the time to initiate a position? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More

The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025.

While the crowd speculates what might happen next, we’re homing in on the companies that can succeed regardless of the political or macroeconomic environment. Put yourself in the driver’s seat and build a durable portfolio by checking out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  232.38
-2.04 (-0.87%)
AAPL  284.15
-2.04 (-0.71%)
AMD  217.60
+2.36 (1.10%)
BAC  54.09
+0.90 (1.69%)
GOOG  320.62
+4.60 (1.46%)
META  639.60
-7.50 (-1.16%)
MSFT  477.73
-12.27 (-2.50%)
NVDA  179.59
-1.87 (-1.03%)
ORCL  207.73
+6.63 (3.30%)
TSLA  446.74
+17.50 (4.08%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.