ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Post’s Q2 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

POST Cover Image

Post’s second quarter results were met with a positive market reaction, driven by improving performance in its cold chain businesses and disciplined cost management across segments. CEO Rob Vitale credited segment diversification for offsetting weakness in pet and cereal volumes, noting, “significant improvement in our cold chain businesses more than offset a pullback at PCB.” Management also highlighted progress in cost optimization, especially in maintaining cereal profitability despite ongoing volume declines and a challenging macroeconomic environment.

Is now the time to buy POST? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Post (POST) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.98 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.95 billion (1.9% year-on-year growth, 1.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $2.03 vs analyst estimates of $1.65 (22.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $374 million vs analyst estimates of $366.8 million (18.8% margin, 2% beat)
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $1.51 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $1.49 billion
  • Operating Margin: 11.8%, up from 10.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $5.90 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Post’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Andrew Lazar (Barclays) asked about expectations for fiscal '26 EBITDA growth amid foodservice normalization and pet recovery. CEO Rob Vitale and CFO Matt Mainer acknowledged planning was ongoing but highlighted foodservice normalization and the full-year 8th Avenue contribution as key factors.
  • Matthew Edward Smith (Stifel) questioned the drivers behind foodservice pricing and the pace of capital spending. Mainer clarified that pricing reflected both avian influenza recovery and ongoing egg cost increases, while higher capex was due to accelerated project timing, not inflation.
  • Michael Scott Lavery (Piper Sandler) inquired about appetite for further M&A versus buybacks. Vitale cited market volatility, low valuation multiples, and a balanced approach between acquisitions and share repurchases, remaining open to both as opportunities arise.
  • David Sterling Palmer (Evercore ISI) probed category trends in pet and cereal, focusing on volume declines. Mainer described tactical spending and brand relaunch strategies but did not forecast a significant increase in promotional budgets.
  • Scott Michael Marks (Jefferies) asked about regulatory-driven cost pressures and portfolio adjustments. COO Jeff Zadoks said innovation would target high-performing product types, with a pragmatic approach to reformulation and portfolio evolution.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will watch (1) the pace and success of 8th Avenue’s integration and its synergies with existing brands, (2) stabilization or improvement in pet and cereal volumes following brand relaunches and product innovation, and (3) the normalization of foodservice margins as avian influenza-related pricing subsides. Progress on cost optimization and further capital deployment, including M&A or buybacks, will also be key indicators.

Post currently trades at $108.54, up from $102.89 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

Our Favorite Stocks Right Now

Trump’s April 2025 tariff bombshell triggered a massive market selloff, but stocks have since staged an impressive recovery, leaving those who panic sold on the sidelines.

Take advantage of the rebound by checking out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.