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1 Surging Stock on Our Buy List and 2 We Avoid

CMI Cover Image

The stocks featured in this article have all approached their 52-week highs. When these price levels hit, it typically signals strong business execution, positive market sentiment, or significant industry tailwinds.

But not every company with momentum is a long-term winner, and plenty of investors have lost money betting on short-term fads. Keeping that in mind, here is one stock with lasting competitive advantages and two best left ignored.

Two Stocks to Sell:

Cummins (CMI)

One-Month Return: +11.3%

With more than half of the heavy-duty truck market using its engines at one point, Cummins (NYSE: CMI) offers engines and power systems.

Why Are We Wary of CMI?

  1. Annual sales growth of 2.3% over the last two years lagged behind its industrials peers as its large revenue base made it difficult to generate incremental demand
  2. Free cash flow margin shrank by 6.9 percentage points over the last five years, suggesting the company is consuming more capital to stay competitive
  3. Eroding returns on capital suggest its historical profit centers are aging

Cummins is trading at $397.57 per share, or 19.3x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why CMI doesn’t pass our bar.

Douglas Dynamics (PLOW)

One-Month Return: +10.9%

Once manufacturing snowplows designed for the iconic jeep vehicle precursor, Douglas Dynamics (NYSE: PLOW) offers snow and ice equipment for the roads and sidewalks.

Why Do We Steer Clear of PLOW?

  1. Products and services are facing significant end-market challenges during this cycle as sales have declined by 2.7% annually over the last two years
  2. Expenses have increased as a percentage of revenue over the last five years as its operating margin fell by 3.8 percentage points
  3. Free cash flow margin dropped by 4.2 percentage points over the last five years, implying the company became more capital intensive as competition picked up

At $32.61 per share, Douglas Dynamics trades at 15x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including PLOW in your portfolio.

One Stock to Buy:

Popular (BPOP)

One-Month Return: +3.3%

Founded in 1893 as the first bank in Puerto Rico to serve the working class, Popular (NASDAQ: BPOP) is a financial holding company that provides retail, mortgage, and commercial banking services primarily in Puerto Rico and the mainland United States.

Why Is BPOP a Good Business?

  1. Net interest margin grew by 19.7 basis points (100 basis points = 1 percentage point) over the last two years, giving the firm more chips to play with
  2. Performance over the past five years was turbocharged by share buybacks, which enabled its earnings per share to grow faster than its revenue
  3. Annual tangible book value per share growth of 22.5% over the past two years was outstanding, reflecting strong capital accumulation this cycle

Popular’s stock price of $119 implies a valuation ratio of 1.3x forward P/B. Is now the time to initiate a position? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More

Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

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