Satellite radio and media company Sirius XM (NASDAQ: SIRI) reported Q3 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, but sales were flat year on year at $2.16 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.84 per share was 8.9% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy SIRI? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

StockStory’s Take

Sirius XM’s third quarter results reflected steady operational execution and expanding digital initiatives, leading to a significant positive response from the market. Management highlighted progress in subscriber experience improvements, cost-saving measures, and a growing ad-supported business, despite flat year-on-year revenue and a continued decline in subscribers. CEO Jennifer Witz pointed to “solid momentum in our new SiriusXM acquisition initiatives,” with early signs of success from targeted pricing and packaging changes, and a robust pipeline of exclusive content driving engagement and retention.

Looking forward, Sirius XM’s guidance is anchored by ongoing investment in content, digital product enhancements, and continued cost optimization. Management expects new acquisition programs, expanded automotive partnerships, and the evolving Play subscription tier to support stabilization in subscriber trends and revenue growth. Witz stated, “We really believe we’re going to see continued progress as a result of the expanded pricing and packaging we put in place, better personalized and content-led marketing, leveraging 360L, and other third-party data to really get the right content in front of the right customers.”

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed the quarter’s performance to new content launches, early results from pricing and product changes, and disciplined cost control.

• Content-driven engagement: Sirius XM continued to expand its exclusive programming, including live events with major artists, the launch of artist-specific channels like Maximum Metallica, and renewed agreements with high-profile talent such as Andy Cohen and Megyn Kelly. These efforts are designed to increase subscriber engagement and retention.
• Ad-supported and podcast momentum: The company’s podcast business showed strong growth, with ad revenue in podcasting up nearly 50% year-over-year. Management is leveraging partnerships and new shows to grow its audience and expand monetization, including initiatives like Creator Connect and integration with Amazon DSP for programmatic advertising.
• Automotive and in-car product innovation: The rollout of 360L, Sirius XM’s next-generation in-car platform, expanded further, now available in new Toyota models. Features like Xtra Channels and improved streaming integration are increasing daily engagement, particularly among users with access to both in-car and streaming products.
• Pricing and packaging evolution: The introduction of the low-cost, ad-supported Play tier and new subscription models is broadening the funnel without cannibalizing the existing subscriber base. Early tests indicate these changes are attracting new users and encouraging upgrades, with management monitoring for potential subscription fatigue.
• Structural cost savings: Continued focus on cost optimization led to a reduction in sales and marketing expenses and lower product and technology costs. CFO Thomas Barry emphasized that these structural changes are ongoing, supporting the company’s margin expansion and free cash flow targets.

Drivers of Future Performance

Management expects future performance to hinge on the scaling of new acquisition programs, evolving digital offerings, and disciplined expense management.

• New acquisition channels and partnerships: Sirius XM is banking on expanded automotive dealer subscription programs, enhanced data for used car activations, and electric vehicle integrations to support stabilization or growth in the core in-car subscriber base. Management sees these channels as key to offsetting headwinds in streaming subscriber additions.
• Broader content and pricing strategy: The company believes ongoing investment in exclusive content, personalized marketing, and flexible subscription tiers—including the Play offering—will drive higher engagement, retention, and opportunities for future price increases. Management noted that balancing rate and volume remains critical to revenue maximization.
• Ad platform and podcast expansion: Sirius XM anticipates further growth from podcasting and unified ad sales across platforms, supported by upcoming ad replacement technology in the car. Leadership views this as an opportunity to increase digital ad revenue and leverage position as the largest U.S. podcast network, but cautions that macroeconomic and auto industry trends present risks.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, our team will watch (1) the impact of new automotive acquisition programs and in-car integrations on subscriber trends, (2) the continued growth and monetization of podcasting and unified ad sales, and (3) further progress on cost efficiency and digital product enhancements such as 360L and Play. The trajectory of auto industry demand and the company’s ability to leverage spectrum assets will also be important areas of focus.

Sirius XM currently trades at $21.83, up from $21.05 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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