What Happened?

Shares of OLED provider Universal Display (NASDAQ: OLED) fell 11.4% in the afternoon session after the company released a full-year revenue forecast that disappointed investors, overshadowing an otherwise mixed fourth-quarter report. 

The organic light-emitting diode (OLED) technology provider reported fourth-quarter revenue of $172.9 million, meeting Wall Street expectations, while its profit of $1.39 per share beat analyst estimates. Despite these positive results, the company's forward-looking guidance became the main concern. Universal Display projected full-year revenue to be in the range of $650 million to $700 million. The midpoint of this forecast was roughly 6.3% below consensus estimates, signaling a weaker-than-anticipated year ahead. This outlook appeared to be the primary cause for the stock's decline, as investors often place more importance on a company's future growth prospects than on its past performance.

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What Is The Market Telling Us

Universal Display’s shares are quite volatile and have had 15 moves greater than 5% over the last year. But moves this big are rare even for Universal Display and indicate this news significantly impacted the market’s perception of the business.

The biggest move we wrote about over the last year was 4 months ago when the stock dropped 9.1% on the news that the company reported disappointing third-quarter 2025 results that missed Wall Street's expectations on both revenue and profit. 

The OLED technology provider's revenue fell 13.6% year-over-year to $139.6 million, significantly short of the consensus estimate of $166.1 million. Its earnings per share of $0.92 also came in 21.6% below analyst expectations and marked a notable decrease from the $1.40 reported in the same quarter of the previous year. While the company reconfirmed its full-year revenue guidance, the significant misses in the current quarter's performance appeared to raise concerns among investors about its near-term execution, prompting a sell-off in its shares.

Universal Display is down 14.2% since the beginning of the year, and at $104.61 per share, it is trading 35.3% below its 52-week high of $161.59 from February 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Universal Display’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $501.87.

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