Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE:TPH) Exceeds Q3 Expectations, Stock Soars

TPH Cover Image

Homebuilder Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE: TPH) reported Q3 CY2025 results exceeding the market’s revenue expectations, but sales fell by 26.9% year on year to $836.9 million. Its GAAP profit of $0.64 per share was 23.1% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Tri Pointe Homes? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $836.9 million vs analyst estimates of $743.1 million (26.9% year-on-year decline, 12.6% beat)
  • EPS (GAAP): $0.64 vs analyst estimates of $0.52 (23.1% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $125.8 million (15% margin, 36.7% year-on-year decline)
  • Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 15%, down from 17.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Backlog: $1.01 billion at quarter end, down 41.5% year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $2.87 billion

“Tri Pointe once again exceeded the high end of our delivery range, closing 1,217 homes at an average sales price of $672,000, and generating $817.3 million in home sales revenue for the third quarter,” said Doug Bauer, Tri Pointe Homes Chief Executive Officer.

Company Overview

Established in 2009 in California, Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE: TPH) is a United States homebuilder recognized for its innovative and sustainable approach to creating premium, life-enhancing homes.

Revenue Growth

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Unfortunately, Tri Pointe Homes’s 2.3% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was sluggish. This was below our standards and is a rough starting point for our analysis.

Tri Pointe Homes Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. Tri Pointe Homes’s performance shows it grew in the past but relinquished its gains over the last two years, as its revenue fell by 3.1% annually. Tri Pointe Homes Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

We can dig further into the company’s revenue dynamics by analyzing its backlog, or the value of its outstanding orders that have not yet been executed or delivered. Tri Pointe Homes’s backlog reached $1.01 billion in the latest quarter and averaged 11.2% year-on-year declines over the last two years. Because this number is lower than its revenue growth, we can see the company hasn’t secured enough new orders to maintain its growth rate in the future. Tri Pointe Homes Backlog

This quarter, Tri Pointe Homes’s revenue fell by 26.9% year on year to $836.9 million but beat Wall Street’s estimates by 12.6%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to decline by 8.3% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last two years. This projection is underwhelming and indicates its products and services will see some demand headwinds.

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Operating Margin

Tri Pointe Homes has been an efficient company over the last five years. It was one of the more profitable businesses in the industrials sector, boasting an average operating margin of 14.1%. This result was particularly impressive because of its low gross margin, which is mostly a factor of what it sells and takes huge shifts to move meaningfully. Companies have more control over their operating margins, and it’s a show of well-managed operations if they’re high when gross margins are low.

Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Tri Pointe Homes’s operating margin decreased by 4.5 percentage points over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability.

Tri Pointe Homes Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Tri Pointe Homes generated an operating margin profit margin of 7.7%, down 5 percentage points year on year. Since Tri Pointe Homes’s operating margin decreased more than its gross margin, we can assume it was less efficient because expenses such as marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead increased.

Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Tri Pointe Homes’s EPS grew at a decent 9.8% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 2.3% annualized revenue growth. However, this alone doesn’t tell us much about its business quality because its operating margin didn’t improve.

Tri Pointe Homes Trailing 12-Month EPS (GAAP)

Diving into the nuances of Tri Pointe Homes’s earnings can give us a better understanding of its performance. A five-year view shows that Tri Pointe Homes has repurchased its stock, shrinking its share count by 32.4%. This tells us its EPS outperformed its revenue not because of increased operational efficiency but financial engineering, as buybacks boost per share earnings. Tri Pointe Homes Diluted Shares Outstanding

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.

For Tri Pointe Homes, its two-year annual EPS declines of 8.9% mark a reversal from its five-year trend. We hope Tri Pointe Homes can return to earnings growth in the future.

In Q3, Tri Pointe Homes reported EPS of $0.64, down from $1.18 in the same quarter last year. Despite falling year on year, this print easily cleared analysts’ estimates. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Tri Pointe Homes’s full-year EPS of $3.38 to shrink by 25%.

Key Takeaways from Tri Pointe Homes’s Q3 Results

We were impressed by how significantly Tri Pointe Homes blew past analysts’ revenue expectations this quarter. We were also glad its EPS outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its backlog missed. Overall, this print had some key positives. The stock traded up 5.3% to $34.61 immediately after reporting.

Big picture, is Tri Pointe Homes a buy here and now? We think that the latest quarter is only one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free for active Edge members.

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