What Happened?

A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after investor fears over a potential credit crisis eased, following reassuring commentary from regional banks. After a volatile previous week sparked by news of stress from some U.S. regional banks, sentiment shifted. These events now appear to be isolated, according to market analysis. The recovery was evident as the KBW Nasdaq Regional Banking Index rose, regaining some of its recent losses. Adding to the positive momentum, several regional bank CEOs reported that their loan portfolios remain broadly healthy. This wave of reassuring news helped calm jitters that revived memories of the 2023 banking turmoil, leading to a recovery in bank stock prices.

The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks.

Among others, the following stocks were impacted:

• Regional Banks company Customers Bancorp (NYSE: CUBI) jumped 3.3%. Is now the time to buy Customers Bancorp? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free for active Edge members.
• Thrifts & Mortgage Finance company Rocket Companies (NYSE: RKT) jumped 3%. Is now the time to buy Rocket Companies? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free for active Edge members.
• Diversified Banks company Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) jumped 3.2%. Is now the time to buy Wells Fargo? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free for active Edge members.
• Regional Banks company UMB Financial (NASDAQ: UMBF) jumped 3.1%. Is now the time to buy UMB Financial? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free for active Edge members.
• Regional Banks company Old National Bank (NASDAQ: ONB) jumped 3.9%. Is now the time to buy Old National Bank? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Zooming In On Old National Bank (ONB)

Old National Bank’s shares are somewhat volatile and have had 10 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 4 days ago when the stock dropped 7.3% on the news that disclosures from two lenders raised concerns about deteriorating loan quality across the industry. The drop was triggered by specific incidents that have spooked investors. Zions Bancorp announced a $50 million charge-off—a debt the bank doesn't expect to collect—on a single loan. Separately, Western Alliance Bancorp revealed it was dealing with a borrower who had failed to provide proper collateral. These events are compounding existing anxieties about the regional banking sector, which is already under pressure from elevated interest rates and declining commercial real estate values. The news heightened investor concerns that more cracks could appear in borrowers' creditworthiness, potentially leading to increased loan losses and reduced profitability for other banks in the sector.

Old National Bank is down 2.5% since the beginning of the year, and at $20.65 per share, it is trading 15.5% below its 52-week high of $24.45 from February 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Old National Bank’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $1,450.

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